A super PAC supporting Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) to win the seat of Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (Iowa-Ariz.) sponsored the January poll, but he is facing a two-way race. He narrowly lost to leading Republican candidate Kari Lake. .
The Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey, commissioned by Replace Cinema, a left-wing group that supports Gallego, found that found In the two-choice race, Lake led Democrats 46% to 45%. In this scenario, another 10% of respondents are unsure who to support.
If Mr. Sinema, who has not yet announced his bid for re-election, enters the fray, Mr. Lake will trail Mr. Gallego by one point. Gallego received 36 percent of responses, followed by Lake with 35 percent and Sinema with 17 percent. Further he says 12% of respondents are torn between three-way races.
According to Messenger, first report The poll has a margin of error (MOE) of plus or minus 4 percentage points, meaning both of these swings would put Lake and Gallego's leads both within the MOE.
2024 Arizona State Senate GE:
Gallego (D) 36% (+1)
Lake(R) 35%
Cinema (I-inc) 17%
.
head-2-head:
Lake (R) 46% (+1)
Gallego (D) 45%.@ppppols/@ReplaceSinema (D), 590V, 1/5-6https://t.co/P0n7uFKI8O
— Political polls (@Politics_Polls) January 10, 2024
The super PAC is not affiliated with the Gallego campaign, but Lake's team won her strong polling campaign with funding from the pro-Gallego PAC.
“Not even Ruben Gallego's own Democratic pollsters can hide the fact that Kali Lake is the frontrunner in the race for Arizona's next U.S. Senate seat,” she said in an email from her campaign. stated in a press release.
Arizonans are tired of Ruben Gallego and Kyrsten Sinema's staunch support for Joe Biden's failed policies. In 2024, Arizona will vote to return to the common-sense America First policies that brought historic peace and prosperity just three years ago.
The poll sampled 590 Arizona voters from January 5th to 6th.
PPP also measured the favorability ratings of all three candidates and found that Sinema was the most vulnerable in Net-22. Of her respondents, 26% view Sinema favorably, while 48% view her unfavorably and 26% are unsure how they feel about her.
Lake had the second-worst score, with 36 percent having a favorable perception of Lake and 52 percent having an unfavorable perception, resulting in a net rating of -16.
Gallego is also submerged, but its inundation rate is only 1%, or 34% to 35%. In the PPP statement, Lake's campaign emphasized that the 30% of voters who have no opinion on Gallego will have an opportunity to define him in the coming months.
