Independent voters have drifted 28 points away from President Joe Biden and toward former President Donald Trump since 2020, an NPR/Marist poll revealed Wednesday.
The dramatic change after four years is terrible news for Biden’s re-election campaign, which faces dire poll numbers on almost every front.
The poll found that during Biden’s term as president, his approval rating among independents declined by 12 points, while Trump’s approval rating increased by 16 points.
- 2020: Biden 57% (+21) Trump 36%
- 2024: President Trump 52% (+7) Biden 45%
Polls show Biden leading Trump by 2 points, but within the margin of error.
- Biden: 50%
- Trump: 48%
poll sampled 1,305 adults from March 25 to 28, 2024, margin of error is ± 3.5%.
Real Clear Politics’ national average points to Trump. take the lead Biden had a 0.8 percentage point lead, but national polls are less important than polls in battleground states.
Trump leads Biden in six of the top seven battleground states. It would reverse Biden’s 2020 successes in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and Arizona. wall street journalPolls found on Tuesday:
- Pennsylvania: Trump 47% (+3) Biden 44%
- Nevada: Trump 48% (+4) Biden 44%
- Michigan: Trump 48% (+3) Biden 45%
- North Carolina: President Trump 49% (+6) Biden 43%
- Arizona: Trump 47% (+5) Biden 42%
- Wisconsin: Biden 46% (=) Trump 46%
- Georgia: Trump 44% (+1) Biden 43%
“Overall, the poll shows that the expansion of one-party control in the states has left only a small number of states politically competitive, and among the voters who will have the most influence on the outcome of the election. “It shows that there is a lot of dissatisfaction with Mr. Biden.” journal report.
Trump also beats Biden on six of the top eight issues in 2024, the paper said. journal vote:
- Economy: Trump 54% (+20) Biden 34%
- Border Security: Trump 52% (+20) Biden 32%
- Defending democracy: Biden 43 percent (+1) Trump 42 percent
- Abortion: Biden 45 percent (+12) Trump 33 percent
- Inflation and rising costs: Trump 53% (+20) Biden 33%
- Mental and physical strength required for the president: Trump 48% (+20) Biden 28%
- Ukraine/Russia war: Trump 46% (+9) Biden 37%
- Israel/Hamas War: Trump 45% (+14) Biden 31%
Biden’s border security and economy are both favorable to Trump, making them two of his top priorities in 2024. A YouGov poll in March found Biden’s approval rating was below 50 percent on both topics.
- Immigration: 30% approve – 59% disapprove
- Employment and the economy: 41% approve – 51% disapprove
Overall, just 40% of Americans approve of Biden’s performance, well below the 50% threshold historically required for incumbents to win re-election.
Wendell Husebo is a political reporter for Breitbart News and a former Republican war room analyst.he is the author of politics of slave morality.Follow Wendell “X” @WendellHusebø or society of truth @WendellHusebo.
