The Mets look incredibly bad right now, but I can see why they shouldn’t be sold just yet: they have a near-record $330 million payroll and don’t have a ton of talent, but they should do a lot better than 22-33.
That being said, the team should start preparing for that possibility, because being on a 64-win pace past Memorial Day increases the odds of them not being in the running for the championship.
Unfortunately, based on interviews with executives from rival teams, a Mets sale would be solid but not spectacular. It might be better than a Rockies sale, but it wouldn’t be as fruitful as a Blue Jays sale or a White Sox or Marlins sale. There’s just one problem: it would be full of players with expiring contracts. So before you insist on a “split” on them, consider that you’re not going to get a ton of money back. Summary:
1. Pete Alonso
He’ll get a big payday in free agency with non-championship teams, but sluggers generally aren’t as coveted as pitchers at the deadline. Anyone remember what the Yankees gave up for Anthony Rizzo? (Alexander Vizcaino and Kevin Alcantara) Anyone remember what the Red Sox gave up for Kyle Schwarber? (Aldo Ramirez) Or what the Tigers got for J.D. Martinez? (Dawel Lugo, Sergio Alcantara, Jose King) The only exception is Mark Teixeira, who brought big money to Texas. But Teixeira had special powers when the Braves outbid the Yankees, Red Sox and others.
The Cubs are the obvious potential buyers, with one rival suggesting the Astros, Mariners and Blue Jays are also contenders (if they buy out). Keep in mind, the Mets are again in Steve Cohen luxury tax territory, meaning they could only acquire a fourth-round draft pick if they make Alonso a qualifying offer.
2. Luis Severino
A one-year deal for $13 million should allow him to thrive, and he’s been dominant at times.
3. Sean Manaea
The player option on his two-year, $28 million contract makes him slightly less valuable than Severino.
4. J.D. Martinez
The Angels, who are not in the championship race, are late entrants and no team other than San Francisco has offered him more than $12 million. Great hitter, but limited market.
5. Jose Quintana
2024 is an uneven year, so even a low-level projection would be a big win.
6. Jake Diekman
Left-handed specialist, reasonable compensation of $4 million.
7. Jeff McNeill
The former batting champion’s salary ($12 million) means the Mets will have to cover a huge expense.
8. Sterling Marty
It’s hard to see unless you pay almost full price.
