Former President Donald Trump is leading the presumptive Democratic nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris, nationally, and is trailing her by double digits among young people and independents, according to a Quinnipiac University poll.
In opinion polls, Published Monday’s poll found that 45% of voters support Trump to 41% for Harris.
🇺🇲 2024 General Election: Quinnipiac
Trump: 45%
Harris: 41%
RFK Jr.: 6%
Other: 4%Independent
Trump: 46%
Harris: 32%
RFK Jr.: 11%
Other: 7%#19 (2.8/3.0) | July 19th-21st | 1,257 RV https://t.co/dR9PzUOOIl https://t.co/Q1gIXgXOp2 pic.twitter.com/OhJjihTzg3
— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2024
The poll was conducted from July 19 to July 21, the day after journalist Mark Halperin published his shockingly accurate report that Biden had dropped out of the race on Sunday. Harris came in just one point ahead of Biden, who is trailing Trump by five points in the crowded race.
BREAKING: Multiple sources outline Biden’s situation as of now.
* He is expected to announce his withdrawal from the nomination this weekend, possibly on Sunday
* Jon Meacham polishes his speech
* Biden will not resign from his presidency
* Biden… https://t.co/l0LrfDTvOL
— Mark Halperin (@MarkHalperin) July 18, 2024
In the Trump-Harris matchup, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is trailing with 6 percent, followed by Green Party candidate Jill Stein with 2 percent. Independent Cornel West and Liberation Party candidate Chase Oliver are each receiving 1 percent.
The 45th president holds a sizable lead over Harris and the other candidates among both younger people and independents: 47% of respondents ages 18-34 support the president, while just 29% back Harris.
2024 National Election, Voters aged 18-34:
Trump 58% (+19)
Harris 39%
.
Trump 47% (+18)
Harris 29%
Kennedy 9%
Stein 4%
Oliver 4%
West 3%.QuinnipiacRV, 7/19-21 https://t.co/N9LoeOnTco
— Politics Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 23, 2024
He also leads Harris by 15 points among voters aged 35 to 49, while Harris has a 10-point lead among voters aged 50 to 64 and those aged 65 and over.
Of the six candidates, Trump leads Harris among independent voters, 46% to 32%.
These trends also apply when it comes to a hypothetical choice between President Trump and President Harris, with the 45th President leading overall but by a narrow margin, 49 percent to 47 percent.
In this scenario, independents would trump Trump 55% to 41% over Harris. Trump also receives the support of 58% of voters ages 18-34, while 39% of that age group support Harris. The 45th president holds a 10-point lead among respondents ages 35-49, while Harris holds an 8-point lead among those ages 50-64 and an 11-point lead among voters ages 65 and over.
The poll was conducted among 1,257 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
Harris X/Forbes The poll, also released Monday, showed Trump leading Harris by 10 points nationally.
