Immigration is a top issue for voters in the battleground “Blue Wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, as it was in 2016 when President Donald Trump won, a new Democratic poll has found. The New York Times.
Immigration is the most important issue for 13 percent of voters in the three states, behind abortion at 15 percent and the economy at 22 percent. University of Siena Poll: According to a poll conducted between August 5 and 9, 11% of independents cited immigration as the top issue.
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Despite downplaying the painful economic impact of immigration, immigration is the most important issue to 16 percent of voters in Pennsylvania, where Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by three points.
Immigration is the top issue for 11 percent of Michigan voters, a state where Trump is three points behind.
In Wisconsin, it’s the top issue for 12% of registered voters, with Harris leading by four points, 50% to 46%.
The issue favored Trump in all three states: When the poll asked voters who they trusted to do a better job on immigration, “Kamala Harris or Donald Trump,” Trump led roughly 51 percent to 46 percent, with independents giving him 55 percent confidence.
Notably, 31 percent of black voters in the three states said they trusted Trump more than Harris on immigration issues.
In July 2016, Breitbart News described Trump’s shock path to victory:
In a survey conducted in July, respondents in the Midwest were far more likely to agree than those in the South, West and Northeast that “immigrants today are a burden on our country because they take away our jobs, housing and health care.” Morning consultation and Vox.com.
of The New York Times The poll is in line with other surveys showing growing public opposition to both legal and illegal immigration, despite a wall of emotive, pro-immigrant reporting from established media sites.
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Unfortunately, polls separate immigration from economic issues, even though immigration has a huge impact on wages, housing and inflation.
Trump and his campaign have addressed the issue. “Housing costs are skyrocketing. They’re skyrocketing because we have 15 million new immigrants,” Trump said in a June speech in Arizona. “There’s no place for them to live. And they’re growing in numbers, and there’s just no place for them to live.”
but, The New York Times The poll revealed stark divisions along economic class lines.
When asked about trust in immigrants, 60 percent of whites without college degrees supported Trump, while 38 percent supported Harris.
The 3:2 ratio was reversed among college-educated whites, with 58% supporting Harris and 38% supporting Trump.
The divide is a testament to immigration’s impact on household finances, which is clearly visible to many blue-collar households dealing with an influx of migrant workers, renters and consumers under President Joe Biden.
So far, President Trump has offered no immigration-related proposals aimed at white-collar Americans, even as the roughly 1.2 million H-1B workers currently working in U.S. jobs face massive job, career and wealth loss as they are outsourced. By Fortune 500 companies and their investors.
The damage from outsourcing has been particularly severe for young graduates, many of whom have lost frontline job opportunities to foreign graduates.
Massive student visa fraud backed by the US ambassador.
Fifth-rate universities that attend these fairs lure desperate students with the promise of work permits upon graduation, and IT outsourcing companies get a new source of cheaper, desperate workers, including Intel. https://t.co/i4FdIaIXBp
— US Tech Workers (@USTechWorkers) August 8, 2024
White-collar immigration policies were also absent from the 2020 election, when Trump held a rally in Pennsylvania.
However, Trump’s 2024 policy promise “End outsourcing and transform America into a manufacturing superpower.”
But Trump’s limited advantage on immigration is offset by Harris’ advantage among women, particularly unemployed and single women. For example, on the question about trust in immigrants, men supported Trump 61 percent and Harris 35 percent, while women supported Harris 55 percent and 43 percent. Overall, 32 percent of women and just 16 percent of men said the changes Kamala Harris would bring would be good for the country.
The poll did not provide data on married and unmarried people.
The newspaper’s Siena College poll surveyed about 650 people in each state, giving it a margin of error of just over 4 percentage points. The poll was conducted Aug. 5-9.
