Former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in all seven battleground states, according to an internal campaign poll.
public opinion poll, carried out Tony Fabrizio and John McLaughlin's memo shows Trump holding leads of 1 to 5 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It turned out.
Arizona:
- Trump: 49% (+3)
- Harris: 46%
- Undecided: 5%
Georgia:
- Trump: 50% (+5)
- Harris: 45%
- Undecided: 5%
Michigan:
- Trump: 49% (+1)
- Harris: 48%
- Undecided: 3%
Nevada:
- Trump: 50% (+3)
- Harris: 47%
- Undecided: 3%
North Carolina:
- Trump: 48 (+1)
- Harris: 47
- Undecided: 5
Pennsylvania:
- Trump: 49% (+1)
- Harris: 48%
- Undecided: 3%
Wisconsin:
- Trump: 49% (+1)
- Harris 48%
- Undecided: 3%
In a memo, Fabrizio and McLaughlin noted that when this data is applied to electoral maps, it amounts to a landslide victory with 312 electoral votes, eight more than the 304 he received in 2016. .
“Just as importantly, President Trump has reached or is on the verge of reaching 50% in virtually all of these states,” they noted.
“We expect President Trump's lead to continue to strengthen,” the pollsters said, citing inflation rattling U.S. consumers and Harris' comments. view That over the past four years, she wouldn't have done anything different than President Joe Biden.
The poll sampled a total of 800 likely voters in each state from Oct. 6 to 9, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
The internal data is as detailed by political analyst Mark Halperin on 2Way. of morning meeting Earlier this week, Harris announced that she was “troubled” in private polls. He specifically pointed to polls of Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.). wall street journal, This shows that Harris leads Trump by three points in Wisconsin.
“To me, it's all about the Electoral College. You … taking any of the Rust Belt states away from her is very difficult to win,” Halperin said. “It's not mathematically impossible, but if she loses any of them, it probably won't happen.”
Polls are beginning to show that Trump has broken with Harris in Michigan and Wisconsin. A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday showed Trump leading in Michigan, 50% to 47%, and in Wisconsin, 48% to 46%.
